Valuing a Gym, Studio or Fitness Club in Newcastle

From a reformer studio near Beaumont Street in Hamilton to a 24-hour club close to the Kotara or Charlestown shopping centres, a fitness business is worth the membership income that keeps arriving long after the new-year sign-ups have tailed off.

We value most Newcastle and Hunter gyms against recent sales of fitness businesses in the same format, expressed as a multiple of maintainable earnings after a manager is paid. Member tenure, average fee, the share of revenue on minimum-term contracts, equipment finance and the years left on the lease decide where in that range your business sits.

Why Hunter gym owners ask for a valuation

A valuation usually comes before a change of hands. Groups that run clubs across several Hunter suburbs buy independents to fill gaps in their map, franchisors want an agreed figure before they approve a transfer, and coaches who opened a gym together sometimes reach the point where one wants out. Separation, refinancing equipment and restructuring the business for the ATO all call for a value at a fixed date too.

Owners tend to think in member numbers, and buyers do not. A buyer funds the profit that membership produces once a manager is paid and the equipment is replaced on time, which can sit well below what the software dashboard implies when the owner has been covering the early classes and weekend shifts for nothing.

Book a Free Consultation

A certified valuer will listen to your situation and answer any questions you may have, at no cost.

Andrew Mackson
Andrew Mackson, CFA, ABV, CBV
Managing Partner · 15+ years
Book a Free Consultation →

Comparable sales first, earnings as the check

The Market Approach leads. Fitness businesses change hands across Newcastle, Lake Macquarie and Maitland often enough that prices actually paid are better evidence than a forecast resting on hoped-for member growth.

Format is the first filter. A 24-hour access club, a class-based studio, a franchised site and an independent strength gym draw different buyers and trade on different multiples. Within a format we compare the catchment, floor area, member numbers and lease term, then apply the multiple that results to maintainable earnings.

Capitalised earnings carry more weight where members are on genuine minimum-term agreements, because that revenue can be projected with some confidence. Where an equipment renewal or a market rent review falls a few years out, a discounted cash flow puts the cost in the year it arrives, which a single multiple cannot show.

Restating the earnings

Before anything is capitalised, we replace the owner's drawings with a manager's market salary and cost any classes or personal training the owner runs at an instructor's rate. In an owner-run studio this is usually the step that moves the figure most.

Testing the assets

Racks, machines, reformers and fit-out go in at what they would sell for, less the finance still owing. Gym equipment depreciates fast and is often financed close to its full cost, so its net contribution is usually smaller than owners expect.

What we adjust before a gym is valued

Two valuations of the same gym rarely part ways on method; they part ways on adjustments. Our reports list each one with its reason, and for Hunter fitness businesses they usually include:

Fitness businesses across Newcastle, Lake Macquarie and Maitland

Newcastle's fitness market splits along a clear line. Inner-city studios around Hamilton, Wickham and the CBD near Honeysuckle sell reformer, yoga, boxing and small-group training to members who pay more per visit and expect a premium fit-out, usually from smaller tenancies on shorter leases. The large 24-hour clubs are out where the car parks are: near the Kotara and Charlestown shopping centres and in Maitland's newer suburbs, built on low weekly fees and high member numbers. Sales from one group say little about the other, so we never blend them.

The Hunter leaves its own marks on membership data. Shift workers from John Hunter Hospital at New Lambton Heights, the port and the mines of the Upper Hunter can keep a 24-hour club busy at hours when other gyms are empty, while studios near the University of Newcastle at Callaghan see students join and cancel with the semester. Gyms serving RAAF Base Williamtown and Port Stephens can lose members when defence postings turn over. We read joins and cancellations month by month, so a semester or posting cycle is not mistaken for a trend.

Two things sit behind every set of gym accounts here. The first is 2020 and 2021, when NSW public health orders shut gyms for long periods; that trading, and the support payments that came with it, is left out of maintainable earnings. The second is the lease. A fitness fit-out cannot move with the business, so a buyer wants enough term left to earn it back, and where the premises fall under the Retail Leases Act 1994 (NSW), a dispute is normally taken first to the NSW Small Business Commission for mediation. An unresolved one at the time of sale pushes the price down.

The region these gyms draw on is broad: at 30 June 2025 the City of Newcastle had 16,296 actively trading businesses and Lake Macquarie 15,181 (Source: ABS, Counts of Australian Businesses, including Entries and Exits, July 2021 to June 2025). A deep local economy helps a gym find members and a buyer, but it does not decide what any one gym is worth; tenure, fees and the lease do.

16,296
actively trading businesses in the City of Newcastle at 30 June 2025, with a further 15,181 in Lake Macquarie
Source: ABS, Counts of Australian Businesses, including Entries and Exits, July 2021 to June 2025
Month by month
joins and cancellations read across at least a year, so a semester, a posting cycle or the new-year rush is not taken as the normal run of trade
Lease first
a buyer checks the term and options before the member numbers, because the fit-out stays with the premises when the business leaves

What the report shows, and why it stands up

You receive a report that names its purpose, the standard of value and the valuation date up front, lists what we relied on (membership exports included) and says plainly where the data was incomplete. Each approach we considered is explained, every adjustment is shown with its reason, and the weighting that produced the range is written out so a lawyer or a buyer can follow it.

That weighting is where a challenge lands when gym partners fall out or a sale is contested. If the report cannot explain why the sales evidence outranked capitalised earnings, or how the churn figure was chosen, a second expert will find the gap, whether the matter is heard in the District Court of New South Wales at the Newcastle courthouse on Hunter Street, the Supreme Court of New South Wales in Sydney or the Newcastle registry of the Federal Circuit and Family Court of Australia. We prepare our reports under APESB, APES 225 Valuation Services, and a certified valuer signs each one and stands ready to explain and defend it.

One question to put to any valuer

Ask which of your member assumptions a second expert would pick apart first, and listen to the answer. A valuer who cannot name it, and rebut it, is not done.

Choosing the report for a gym or studio

Choose an Indicative valuation if a buyer has made an approach, or you are settling on an asking price, and you want a private benchmark first. It is for internal decision-making and is not written for third party reliance. Choose a Summary report for a sale, a franchise transfer or refinancing your equipment. Choose a Detailed report for a property settlement, a dispute between partners or any matter another expert will review.

If someone outside the business will rely on the number, such as a court, a lender, the ATO or another valuer, the fuller report is the safer choice.

Indicative

For internal decision-making. Useful for testing an offer, setting an expectation before a negotiation, or deciding whether to go to market. It is not written for third party reliance.

Summary

Sets out the approaches applied, the normalisation adjustments made and the reasoning behind the conclusion. The usual choice for a sale, an ownership change or a finance application.

Detailed

Applies and reconciles all relevant approaches in full. The level required where a court, the ATO, a lender or another expert will review the opinion.

Compare the three report types

Questions Hunter gym and studio owners ask

By comparison with what buyers have paid for similar fitness businesses. We group sales by format, so a 24-hour club is measured against 24-hour clubs and a reformer studio against studios, and apply the multiple to earnings after a manager's wage. A capitalised earnings calculation then checks the answer, with member tenure, contracted fees, equipment finance and the lease built in.
Not necessarily. Membership numbers are a snapshot; value comes from how long people keep paying and what they pay. A studio with a loyal, full-fee base can outprice a much bigger club that relies on discount offers to replace the members it loses each month, so tenure, revenue per member and cancellations count for more than the headline.
Directly. Every member who cancels has to be replaced before revenue can grow, so a club with heavy monthly cancellations is running to stand still, and a buyer prices in the promotional spend and the risk. Where your software shows low, stable cancellations over a full year, the multiple and the weight on capitalised earnings both improve.
The method is the same; the comparable sales are not. Studios around Hamilton, Wickham and the CBD usually run smaller memberships on premium fees and shorter leases, while clubs near the Charlestown and Kotara shopping centres or in Maitland's newer suburbs rely on volume and larger floor plates. We match your gym to sales of its own format and catchment rather than applying a blended Hunter average.
Usually less than owners hope. Each item is taken at its second-hand sale value and the finance owing is deducted, which for a recently fitted-out club can leave very little. Because machines wear out on a cycle, the cost of renewing them is charged against earnings as well, so the same kit is not counted twice.
It can go either way. The brand can keep members loyal and brings buyers who want a proven system, but royalties and levies come straight off the earnings, the franchisor has a say over who buys, and a short remaining term or a compulsory refit before renewal can take a large bite out of the price. We read the franchise agreement before choosing comparables.
Not if the figures are cleaned properly. Gyms across NSW were shut for long periods under public health orders in both years, and the support payments of that time will not come again, so we leave those years out of maintainable earnings and work from the trading since. If membership has not returned to its earlier level, we look at why before deciding what a buyer can rely on.
It may, depending on the premises and the use, and either way the lease is often what a buyer studies hardest. Where the Act applies, it governs matters such as disclosure, rent reviews and outgoings, and disputes usually go first to mediation through the NSW Small Business Commission. A buyer will check the term left, the options, the outgoings passed on and any relocation or demolition clause, and a lease too short to recover the fit-out will cut the price.
Certified reports are ready from seven business days after the documents arrive. To get there, we need three years of financial statements, a membership software report of joins and cancellations by month, the current lease, the franchise agreement if there is one, and the finance schedule for the equipment.

Book a Free Consultation

Talk your situation through with a certified valuer before you commit to anything, at no cost.

Andrew Mackson
Andrew Mackson, CFA, ABV, CBV
Managing Partner · 15+ years
Book a Free Consultation →

Related pages

Certified Valuation Reports From Seven Business Days

Every report is signed by a credentialed certified valuer and built to withstand ATO, ASIC, court and bank scrutiny.

Book a Consultation